Government
is set to issue its first three-year bond this week, to raise about
half a billion Ghana cedis using the book building route. This will
bring to three the total number of bonds issued so far this year, with
the previous two being five-year bonds which together raised a billion
cedis to refinance debts.
Though the Finance Ministry is yet
to determine the amount it seeks, information provided by the central
bank earlier this month indicates that government will need about
US$500million to settle maturing debts and support the budget. So far,
government has raised about GH¢10.62 billion cedis through various debt
securities; and going by the Bank of Ghana’s notice served of
government’s plan, the total value of issued securities this year will
reach GH¢15.5 billion by end of the month.
It is expected that
issuance of the three year bond will be oversubscribed, with the
previous two bonds issued being oversubscribed as the bonds offer
relatively high returns to investors.
However, the borrowing
costs continue to remain a concern to economic policy analysts.
According to the Bank of Ghana, Ghana’s debt currently stands at
US$25.6billion as at December last year, and it’s seen by rating agency
Fitch -- which recently maintained Ghana’s credit ratings at B with
negative outlook -- as a worrying situation.
While the former
first Deputy-Governor of the Bank of Ghana, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia -- now
presidential running-mate of the biggest opposition party, has
consistently raised concerns about the debt position of the country, the
Finance Minister Seth Terkper insists government is undertaking what he
calls ‘smart’ borrowing whereby the projects mainly pay for themselves.
Anxiety
about the country’s debt levels have heightened as economic growth has
slowed, and it is forecasted by the IMF to expand by 3.5 percent this
year following the slump in commodities prices and global economic
meltdown. As the country goes to the polls this year, it is feared
government will overspend and widen the country’s deficit position.
“Public debt will peak this year,” Fitch said in a statement released
earlier this month. The concerns of ballooning debt, despite assurances
from the President that government will spend within its budget limit,
stem from the fact that every election year over the years has seen a
splurge of spending from the party in power.
The deficit
peaked twice in the election years 2008 and 2012, ballooning to 8.5
percent and 11.8 percent of GDP respectively. The fallout of this
deficit surge in election years is that interest or debt-service costs
have increased sharply soon after. |
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