Every
Ghanaian owes about GH¢3,512.81 in government debt, population
projections made by the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) as at end 2015
suggest.
According to the Bank of Ghana (BoG), Ghana’s debt stock
rose to GH¢97.2 billion ($25.6billion) in December 2015, equivalent to
72.9 percent of GDP.
Out of this, total external debt amounted to
GH¢57.8 billion, 43.4 percent of GDP and domestic debt was GH¢39.4
billion (29.5 percent of GDP).
According to Eric Kofi Kontoh, an
economist and analyst, who recently commented on the implications of the
total national debt for every citizen in a recent analysis, government
added GH¢73 billion between 2011 and 2015, representing an average
growth rate of 75 percent per year to the public debt.
“As the
debt continues to go high, the liability of every Ghanaian is also
rising…Within the last four years, Ghana’s total debt stock rose to
GH¢97.2 billion (72.9 percent of GDP) as of 2015, up from GH¢24 billion
(42.2 percent of GDP) as at the end of 2011.”
He referred to a
recent study published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) which
said the level of the debt was not much of a concern but the growth of
the government debt posed long-run negative consequences on economic
growth in his analysis.
He said the IMF study found that debt
thresholds for developing countries such as Ghana ranged from 30 percent
to 60 percent, adding that those of advanced economies ranged from 60
percent to 80 percent.
Total revenue and grants as a percentage
of GDP as at the end of 2015 were estimated at 23.3 percent compared to
total debt-to-GDP ratio of 72.9 percent.
The 2016 Budget statement estimates total interest payment at GH¢10.5 billion, equivalent to 6.6 percent of GDP.
The
interest payment as a percentage of GDP was 2.8 percent as at 2009, 4.3
percent as at 2014 compared to 6.6 percent budgeted for in 2016.
Furthermore,
the economist cited Fitch’s Ratings (2015), which depicts Ghana’s
interest payment burden as highest amongst its rated sub-Saharan
Africans sovereigns, adding that interest payments consumed almost
one-third of government revenues.
Mr Kontoh explained that the
amount budgeted by government for interest payment in the 2016 budget
was higher than funds allocated to government units; comprising
statutory payments into the National Health Insurance Fund, Ghana
Education Trust Fund, District Assemblies Common Fund, Road Fund,
Petroleum-Related Funds, transfer to the Ghana National Petroleum
Company and retention of internally-generated funds by MDAs estimated at
GH¢9.7 billion.
Moreover, he indicated that the budgeted
interest payments for 2016 was higher than the total amount of GH¢6.7
billion allocated for capital expenditure in the country.
“It is also higher than the expected tax proceeds from domestic goods and services estimated at GH¢7.4 billion.” |
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